Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.171485 14.247361 16.516361 19.173470 22.192284 25.507769 29.416783
2025-05-18 8.400083 11.136463 14.449006 18.719246 24.039353 30.407523 38.560888
2025-05-25 6.231319 9.142860 12.967857 18.282199 25.383271 34.442978 46.756443
2025-06-01 4.805931 7.703232 11.786703 17.828934 26.381682 37.870222 54.243488
2025-06-08 3.663637 6.382431 10.473156 16.884012 26.439425 39.870896 59.818987
2025-06-15 3.200514 5.975694 10.381740 17.614963 28.848430 45.211578 70.303950
2025-06-22 2.756681 5.502991 10.092692 17.963913 30.663675 49.777807 79.953696
2025-06-29 2.277531 4.869278 9.432039 17.606609 31.302261 52.584478 87.142314
2025-07-06 1.835761 4.210393 8.617123 16.864222 31.204240 54.192942 92.551252
2025-07-13 1.711800 4.142083 8.835072 17.908213 34.122530 60.714313 105.968480
2025-07-20 1.587108 4.046888 8.983557 18.830298 36.891215 67.154379 119.617979
2025-07-27 1.406431 3.795014 8.790838 19.090477 38.505540 71.773815 130.562381
2025-08-03 1.192077 3.442022 8.383659 18.973436 39.577573 75.802710 141.231248
2025-08-10 0.985529 3.062396 7.869085 18.599605 40.180110 79.145735 151.124338
2025-08-17 0.811729 2.717954 7.367976 18.178128 40.635476 82.246584 160.796571
2025-08-24 0.667272 2.409767 6.889779 17.729358 40.971437 85.126580 170.231741
2025-08-31 0.523713 2.057429 6.234889 16.789395 40.199552 85.869190 175.844637
2025-09-07 0.480710 2.001472 6.309813 17.516882 42.942079 93.420922 194.316009
2025-09-14 0.426786 1.893447 6.229003 17.864168 44.900938 99.582449 210.545319
2025-09-21 0.355261 1.699982 5.879011 17.508583 45.289663 102.680406 221.167142
2025-09-28 0.284103 1.479505 5.405146 16.769781 44.738736 103.842513 228.124247
2025-10-05 0.272195 1.488328 5.609480 17.808737 48.335845 113.663239 252.432007
2025-10-12 0.257372 1.480483 5.761628 18.726409 51.723097 123.241504 276.723600